Hillary Clinton’s massive early Iowa lead is a big change from 2008. Walker’s polling surge may persist if it triggers endorsements from party leaders. And few young Americans perceive measles as a threat. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, February 26, 2015.
CLINTON LEADS IN IOWA – Quinnipiac University: “With 61 percent of likely Iowa Democratic Caucus participants, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has an overwhelming early lead…U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts has 19 percent, with 7 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 5 percent and 6 percent are undecided. If Secretary Clinton decides not to run, Sen. Warren is the choice of 36 percent of likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 32 percent for Vice President Biden. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont gets 8 percent, with 17 percent undecided. Biden leads in one negative category, as 12 percent of likely Iowa Democratic Caucus participants say they “would definitely not support him,” with 6 percent saying no-way to Clinton… Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants give Clinton a 90 – 7 percent favorability rating… By a 63 – 25 percent margin, Democratic Caucus participants say experience as a Senator or member of Congress better prepares a candidate to be president than experience as a governor or administrator.” [Quinnipiac]
Iowa looks very different than 2008 – In 2008, the Iowa caucuses loomed from the start as a potential Clinton vulnerability. Although she enjoyed wide early polling leads nationwide and in other early primary states, polls showed her support among Iowa’s likely caucusgoers typically hovering in the mid 20-percent range.
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-South Korea’s millennials have a particularly dark view of the future. [Pew]
-Tea is increasingly popular among young Americans. [YouGov]
