Behind LA’s Dramatic Decline In Gang Violence

From 1988 to 1998 — known to some as the “decade of death” — close to a thousand people per year were killed in Los Angeles. Gangs didn’t run all the neighborhoods, but the ones they did, they terrorized. Drugs moved openly on street corners, drive-by shootings occurred with dispiriting frequency, and wearing the wrong color T-shirt on the wrong street could be interpreted as a death wish.

It all seems improbable now. There are still terrible parts of the city, where brutality and blight reign, but to say that LA is a city unchanged is to ignore the statistics. From 2008 to 2012, violent crime across the nation went down about 16 percent, according to a recent cover story on the subject for Pacific Standard magazine. But in Los Angeles that drop was notably more precipitous in gang areas, the magazine notes: 30 percent in Compton, 50 percent in Bell Gardens and 50 percent in El Monte. Gang-related homicides in Los Angeles have gone down 66.7 percent over the past eight years, and gang-related crimes have seen a 55.3 percent dip since 2005.

So, what accounts for this drastic decline? The only thing that everyone — from police representatives to community organizers to Sam Quinones, the author of the Pacific Standard piece — can agree on is that there’s no single answer. But if you consider the six theories below, and how they interact and build on each other, you can begin to see why city officials say Los Angeles hasn’t been this safe since the Eisenhower administration.

1. More police, smarter policing.

When William J. Bratton led the Los Angeles Police Department, he encouraged cops to get involved as community problem-solvers. (AP Photo/U.S. Department of Justice)

Paradoxically, the Mexican Mafia’s ruthlessness has helped, in part, to clean up the LA gang scene. Quite simply, its violence has scared off prospective members who would otherwise be looking to join other gangs. The specter of Mexican Mafia retribution also changes the behavior of criminals in prison. As noted by the Pacific Standard, most prisoners who request protective custody in the United States are Latino gang members from Southern California. And the reason? They are afraid of the Mexican Mafia. This, too, comes with a crime-reduction benefit. When these gang members are sent to remote prisons in places like Oklahoma and Idaho, they are cut off from their criminal connections back home.

6. Intervention over suppression.

The Huffington Post